Capex Panic Spreads

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−3.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Investors conclude that the AI buildout has moved ahead of monetization. The pressure spreads from the Magnificent Seven into semiconductors, data-center suppliers, power infrastructure and other AI-linked equities.

What it moves

Technology−4.9%
Industrials−1.5%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?