Possible scenario
Oversight Fight Intensifies
20% Chance
The case becomes part of a broader dispute over whether Trump's Justice Department is targeting political opponents. The legal outcome remains uncertain, but the near-term story centers on warrants, subpoenas, congressional oversight, and claims of selective prosecution.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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