Possible scenario
No Criminal Charges
25% Chance
The probe may end without criminal charges if investigators cannot show intent, materiality, or knowing falsification beyond the previously cited accounting error. This outcome is plausible because Omar was reportedly cleared in September after overstating assets by millions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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