Possible scenario
Dip Buyers Return
22% Chance
Investors conclude that Goldman's indicator is a lagging confirmation of positioning rather than a fresh catalyst. Lower yields or calmer credit markets encourage systematic and discretionary buyers to rebuild exposure after the selloff.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Bitcoin Up
- Copper Up
- Oil prices Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.