Possible scenario
Reset And Survival
35% Chance
Keiko Fujimori treats the polling collapse as an early warning and changes ministers, especially in interior, justice and social-policy portfolios. Fuerza Popular keeps Congress aligned enough to avoid a vacancy push while the administration emphasizes crime control and economic continuity.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Copper Down
Tickers
- BAP+1.9%
- SCCO+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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