Possible scenario
Hardline Security Turn
20% Chance
Fujimori responds to anger over crime with emergency decrees, more visible policing and tougher detention rules. This can briefly stabilize her coalition, but it also risks legal challenges and protests if abuses are reported.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Copper Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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