Possible scenario
Congressional Gridlock Deepens
30% Chance
The approval drop emboldens opposition blocs and transactional allies in Congress. Fujimori survives, but reforms on security, procurement and investment permitting are diluted or delayed, reinforcing Peru’s recent pattern of weak presidents and assertive lawmakers.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- US dollar Up
Tickers
- BAP-2.1%
- IFS-1.0%
- SCCO-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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