Possible scenario
EU Diversification Push
18% Chance
The EU treats continued Chinese exports as a temporary window to build alternative supply chains rather than a reason to relax. Brussels accelerates partnerships with Vietnam, Australia, Canada, and domestic processing projects under the Critical Raw Materials Act.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.6%
- Industrials +0.5%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- NEO+2.7%
- MP+1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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