Trial Balloon Fades

40%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely outcome is that Trump uses the idea to dominate attention but does not actually install Nicki Minaj in the briefing room. After the short-lived Katie Zacharia episode, aides have strong incentives to stabilize the communications operation with an acting official or lower-profile loyalist.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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