Backlash Derails Move

10%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

A smaller but plausible path is that the idea triggers enough internal resistance to halt the process. Concerns could include vetting, outside business interests, briefing-room competence, and Republican discomfort with another chaotic personnel move.

What it moves

Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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