Possible scenario
Whatley Comeback
20% Chance
The super PAC cut proves premature if the national environment turns sharply toward Republicans. Whatley benefits from presidential coattails, conservative turnout, and attacks tying Cooper to national Democrats.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
- Finance +0.3%
- Utilities -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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