Possible scenario
Race Stays Competitive
28% Chance
The cut in Senate Leadership Fund bookings is a setback but not a total abandonment of Whatley. The NRSC, state Republicans, and Trump-aligned donors try to narrow the spending gap, leaving Cooper favored but not out of reach.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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