Possible scenario
Cooper Pulls Away
42% Chance
The Senate Leadership Fund's retreat becomes a public signal that Republicans see Michael Whatley as a weak investment against Roy Cooper. Democratic outside groups and the DSCC press the advantage, and Cooper consolidates a mid-to-high single-digit lead into Election Day.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Finance -0.4%
- Utilities +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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