Republicans Hold House

31%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans survive the late Democratic ad barrage by holding enough Trump-leaning and rural districts and limiting losses in expensive media markets. The GOP’s outside spending from Congressional Leadership Fund and Trump-aligned groups offsets House Majority PAC’s final push.

What it moves

Finance+0.2%
Energy+0.2%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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