Possible scenario
Limited Gulf Disruption
45% Chance
Isaias strengthens but comes ashore without major offshore platform, pipeline, or refinery damage. Producers keep precautionary shut-ins in place briefly, then begin staged restarts once crews can inspect assets.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- VLO-0.6%
- PSX-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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