Possible scenario
Damaging Energy Hit
25% Chance
Isaias tracks across a denser cluster of offshore platforms or makes landfall near key Louisiana-Texas energy infrastructure. Production shut-ins last longer than a normal precautionary halt, creating a clearer near-term supply disruption.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.7%
- Utilities -0.7%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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