Possible scenario
Eastward Weakening Track
20% Chance
A steering shift carries Isaias east of the heaviest Gulf energy footprint or the storm weakens before landfall. Offshore shut-ins prove mostly precautionary, and market attention quickly moves back to inventories and broader demand signals.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Utilities -0.2%
Tickers
- CVX+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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