Possible scenario
Rally Protests Escalate
20% Chance
The incident encourages more organized protests at upcoming Trump events in Texas and other battleground states. Police preparations increase, and the risk of copycat confrontations becomes the central near-term political issue.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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