Bipartisan Deals Emerge

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.6%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite partisan tensions, both sides identify limited areas for compromise, especially appropriations, border funding, disaster aid, and health-care subsidies. Markets respond favorably if the election reduces uncertainty around fiscal deadlines.

What it moves

Industrials+0.7%
Finance+0.6%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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