Possible scenario
Blame Contained
38% Chance
Netanyahu's effort to assign operational responsibility to Avi Gil gains traction inside Likud and the governing coalition. The controversy remains largely a domestic political and historical-accountability fight rather than a new security escalation.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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