Contained Security Incident
0.0%
Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government treat the second drone strike as a contained sabotage incident rather than the start of a wider campaign. Security is reinforced around the Khor Mor field, repairs proceed quickly, and the probe avoids naming a state sponsor without strong evidence.
What it moves
- Energy−0.1%
- Oil prices
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.