Possible scenario
Waivers Contain Defaults
40%
+0.1%
Banks, private-credit funds and project sponsors negotiate temporary waivers, reserve accounts and revised milestones rather than forcing immediate defaults. This is the most likely path because lenders have strong incentives to avoid fire sales in partially completed campuses while AI tenants still need capacity.
What it moves
- Utilities+0.1%
- Technology+0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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