Possible scenario
Controlled Airport Reopening
35% Chance
Saudi authorities complete emergency repairs and restore most Riyadh airport operations after the Houthi strike. The government maintains elevated air-defense alerts, but the immediate disruption remains concentrated in civil aviation rather than energy infrastructure.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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