Possible scenario
Operational Workaround Prevails
24% Chance
Instead of structural changes, the Secret Service adapts operations around Trump's refusal. Access rules, visitor screening, event scheduling, and internal movement protocols become stricter, avoiding a constitutional or funding confrontation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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