Possible scenario
Limited Security Compromise
42% Chance
The most likely path is a face-saving compromise: the White House rejects a full Oval Office rebuild but accepts less visible hardening measures. The Secret Service, the General Services Administration, and White House staff settle on upgrades that preserve presidential optics while addressing the post-2024 security record.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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