Possible scenario
Congress Enters Dispute
22% Chance
Congress becomes the venue for the dispute, especially given earlier findings of Secret Service failures and the June 2026 White House attack plot. Lawmakers use hearings, appropriations language, and oversight letters to pressure both the White House and DHS.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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