Managed Compromise

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Both campaigns may try to contain the dispute by narrowing Stevens’ role rather than fully restoring or canceling the joint appearance. This outcome lets Stevens maintain distance from the PAC ad while allowing El-Sayed to avoid a high-profile cancellation.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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