Campaign Rift Widens

10%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The rally deepens the divide between Trump and the Michigan GOP Senate nominee, especially if the nominee views the celebrity-heavy event as a distraction. Democrats exploit the split to question Republican unity days before the midterms.

What it moves

Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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