Possible scenario
Negotiated Tariff Compromise
+0.2%
Rather than an abrupt repeal or a constitutional clash, Congress and the administration move toward a managed compromise. Tariffs are reduced over time, with some strategic-sector protection retained for steel, aluminum, and China-linked supply chains.
What it moves
- Consumer Cyclicals+0.7%
- Non-Energy Materials−0.4%
- Industrials+0.4%
- Market volatility
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