Possible scenario
Revised Map Deal
18% Chance
Repeated judicial blocks may push Missouri Republicans to adopt a legally safer substitute plan rather than continue emergency litigation. A revised map could modestly improve GOP odds while avoiding the most aggressive features of the 7R-1D plan.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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