Possible scenario
GOP Map Revived
25% Chance
The Court could convert the emergency dispute into a fast merits ruling or lift the stay after further briefing. That would allow Missouri Republicans to run the 2026 House elections under the 7R-1D map reinstated by the Eighth Circuit.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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