Possible scenario
Niche Campaign Launch
25% Chance
Kennedy formally enters the Republican presidential primary and presents himself as a folksy conservative alternative focused on energy, border security, banking oversight, and anti-Washington rhetoric. He gains attention but starts behind JD Vance and other nationally organized contenders.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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