Possible scenario
Peña Leaves Office
−0.6%
The impeachment threat becomes politically unmanageable and Peña either resigns or is removed after defections inside the Colorado bloc. Vice President Pedro Alliana becomes the constitutional successor, but the market reaction depends on whether the transition is orderly.
What it moves
- Finance−1.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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