Possible scenario
Mass Protests Spread
22% Chance
MAS-aligned unions, coca-grower federations, and regional groups treat the seizure of prosecution offices as an authoritarian turn. Road blockades and strikes spread, putting pressure on fuel, food distribution, mining logistics, and the government's ability to pass market reforms.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
- Copper Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.4%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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