Contained U.S. Strikes
−0.6%
The most likely outcome is a limited U.S. or coalition operation against Iran-aligned militia infrastructure in Iraq or eastern Syria. Iraq’s airspace restrictions appear consistent with a short-duration strike window rather than a full regional air campaign.
What it moves
- Energy+1.5%
- Consumer Services−0.8%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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