Possible scenario
Race Remains Unsettled
17% Chance
The $5 million Democratic blitz and the Republican counterspending largely cancel each other out. Voters absorb the Epstein-files argument, but late movement depends more on turnout operations, candidate favorability, and national political conditions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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