Possible scenario
Marshall Survives
38% Chance
Marshall's campaign and allied Republican groups blunt the Senate Majority PAC offensive by reframing the vote as a procedural or privacy-related decision rather than a defense of secrecy. Kansas's partisan lean and late GOP spending help the incumbent recover enough ground.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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