Possible scenario
Attack Sticks
35% Chance
Senate Majority PAC's Epstein-files attack reinforces existing doubts about Roger Marshall after his 2025 vote against releasing related documents. Hamilton benefits from the contrast, especially among suburban Republicans, independents, and moderate voters around Johnson County, Wichita, and Topeka.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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