Possible scenario
Security Deteriorates Further
25%
−0.7%
Houthi attacks continue against Saudi airports, energy infrastructure, or urban targets, making the AFC’s rescheduling decision the first step toward a broader reassessment. This scenario is less likely than a managed delay but remains plausible given the recent sequence of strikes on Riyadh airport and Saudi refineries.
What it moves
- Energy+1.4%
- Consumer Services−0.7%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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