Legislature Flips, Executive Split

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democrats win both chambers but Republicans retain at least one major statewide executive office, most plausibly the governorship or attorney general’s office. The result produces divided government, with Democrats able to block GOP initiatives but forced to negotiate on spending, energy and voting law.

What it moves

Energy−0.1%
Finance−0.1%
Utilities+0.1%
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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