Broader Democratic Wave

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.8%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The House forecast is the first visible sign of a broader anti-Republican midterm environment. Democratic strength extends beyond toss-up House seats into lean-Republican districts, Senate races, and state-level contests.

What it moves

Healthcare−1.1%
Finance−1.0%
Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?