Possible scenario
Service Stabilization
40% Chance
The most likely near-term outcome is that Yandex and Russian state-linked telecom providers restore critical services through failover capacity, traffic prioritization, and emergency routing. The disruption remains serious for Russian users but does not become a broader global technology-market event.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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