Possible scenario
Quiet Season Finish
45% Chance
El Niño-related wind shear and dry Saharan air continue to suppress Atlantic cyclone organization through the climatological peak. The basin remains historically quiet, with limited U.S. landfall risk and modest relief for insurers, Gulf energy operators, utilities, and travel businesses.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Utilities +0.2%
- Energy -0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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