Possible scenario
Late Weak Storms
30% Chance
The Atlantic becomes somewhat more active in October, but storms remain largely below hurricane intensity. The main economic effects come from flooding, travel delays, and temporary utility outages rather than major wind damage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
- Finance -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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