Possible scenario
Appeals Fight Begins
15% Chance
DOJ may seek appellate relief while maintaining that the ads have ended. This would keep the legal dispute alive but would still be centered on campaign-style government communications, not fiscal policy or core economic regulation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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