Possible scenario
Policy Decouples Race
20% Chance
The administration ultimately separates E15 policy from the Kansas Senate result to preserve support across farm states. A permanent or semi-permanent framework moves forward, but it is framed as a regional fuel policy rather than a Marshall-specific reward.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.2%
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- GPRE+1.6%
- ANDE+0.8%
- ADM+0.5%
- VLO+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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