Possible scenario
Hamilton Wins Kansas
38% Chance
Hamilton's polling lead holds through Election Day, making Trump's promise of permanent Kansas E15 sales politically ineffective. EPA continues relying on emergency summer waivers rather than a durable Kansas-specific or national rule.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.3%
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- GPRE-1.7%
- ANDE-0.8%
- ADM-0.5%
- CASY-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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