Institutions Contain Dispute

45%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Israel’s Central Elections Committee, police, and courts reject broad fraud claims and keep the dispute inside normal legal channels. Netanyahu and Likud continue political attacks, but the certified seat count remains broadly unchanged and coalition talks proceed.

What it moves

Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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