House Impeaches, Senate Blocks

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely path is that the new House majority, with Hakeem Jeffries backing the articles and some GOP defections after midterm losses, impeaches Pete Hegseth. The Senate then falls well short of the two-thirds threshold required to remove him, keeping the political damage contained.

What it moves

Industrials−0.5%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

House Impeaches, Senate Blocks

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