Possible scenario
Financing Slows First
20% Chance
Even without a nationwide moratorium, lenders and equity sponsors may reprice data-center risk after BlackRock's warning. Higher financing costs would slow marginal projects before regulators impose broader bans.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.9%
- Technology -0.9%
- Industrials +0.6%
- Energy +0.4%
- Utilities
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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